Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.854624 0.960937 1.076777 1.212602 1.367789 1.539905 1.745718
2025-02-02 0.698968 0.844858 1.017095 1.236451 1.509814 1.841100 2.275783
2025-02-09 0.607935 0.770443 0.972713 1.244963 1.604834 2.068412 2.717525
2025-02-16 0.541803 0.713343 0.936201 1.250061 1.685673 2.276228 3.149975
2025-02-23 0.497106 0.676435 0.918238 1.272556 1.785974 2.514458 3.647178
2025-03-02 0.444176 0.621405 0.867995 1.241729 1.803664 2.633020 3.979745
2025-03-09 0.416378 0.598092 0.858612 1.266482 1.902081 2.876908 4.528913
2025-03-16 0.382715 0.562571 0.827296 1.253798 1.939902 3.029018 4.947233
2025-03-23 0.359667 0.540456 0.813334 1.265261 2.014995 3.245685 5.496892
2025-03-30 0.332696 0.509799 0.783171 1.247237 2.038754 3.378114 5.914298
2025-04-06 0.311135 0.485720 0.761030 1.239595 2.077967 3.539044 6.400771
2025-04-13 0.282585 0.448158 0.714041 1.185650 2.030984 3.542065 6.589679
2025-04-20 0.270240 0.436527 0.709280 1.204687 2.116998 3.797631 7.307773
2025-04-27 0.259379 0.426539 0.706457 1.226831 2.210976 4.078815 8.118447
2025-05-04 0.247219 0.413313 0.696827 1.235416 2.279688 4.318022 8.874480
2025-05-11 0.235565 0.400046 0.685967 1.240457 2.341540 4.549665 9.646507
2025-05-18 0.227457 0.392405 0.684446 1.262760 2.439361 4.865017 10.651710
2025-05-25 0.212502 0.371368 0.656914 1.232197 2.426404 4.945642 11.123973
2025-06-01 0.206189 0.365687 0.657359 1.256739 2.530166 5.289114 12.276947
2025-06-08 0.195562 0.351246 0.640186 1.244163 2.553353 5.456244 13.018723
2025-06-15 0.188662 0.343359 0.634958 1.255528 2.629497 5.751846 14.134441
2025-06-22 0.178833 0.329220 0.616544 1.237658 2.638572 5.891702 14.860803
2025-06-29 0.170849 0.318167 0.603479 1.230081 2.670222 6.088905 15.774832